2016-17 NBA Win Total Predictions

The MLB Playoffs are in full swing and the NFL is well under way so does that mean it’s too early to look at the quickly approaching NBA season? Never!

So for those who have been anxiously awaiting the season’s first tip, the first ground shaking slam dunk and for their teams to hit the court I offer the over-under picks for wins this year.  I’ve found a comprehensive list of NBA over unders from several sportsbooks at BoydsBets.

Some surprises, some of the usual suspects and maybe even a disappointment or two await. Don’t blame me, I just call it like I see it. How I see it looks something like this…

Atlanta Hawks – This is a team that has found themselves in the postseason conversation more often than not in recent history, and their formula has been defense, defense and more defense. Although they’ve lost some key components (namely Al Horford), don’t expect much of a fall off because of how they get here. Over 43.5

Boston Celtics – Speaking of the aforementioned Al Horford, a team on the rise welcomes the veteran leadership and the big man’s presence in the paint (an offensive boost here should help too), good math says a good team getting better plus Horford means good things. Over 51.5

Brooklyn Nets – A bad team that did little to nothing to change that shouldn’t expect much more than more of the same. Under 21.5

Charlotte Hornets – Mediocre teams generally need to do something reasonably impactful in order to rise above the medium. Simply put, they didn’t. Under 39.5

Chicago Bulls – Sometimes a team makes some surprising moves in the offseason, and sometimes the results can be surprisingly good or surprisingly bad. The Bulls will be in the group of good surprises this year. Over 38.5

Cleveland Cavaliers – The defending World Champions are ready to defend returning intact and healthy. History isn’t on their side when it comes to repeating, but expect them to be even better this year. Over 56.5

Dallas Mavericks – It is pretty obvious that this is a team going the wrong direction and I can’t see much that has happened between last season and now to reverse this trend. Under 39.5

Denver Nuggets – Even in a conference loaded with talent and contenders, the young nucleus and leadership of this team appears to be headed in the right direction. Over 34.5

Detroit Pistons – Unlike the Denver Nuggets in the West, the East doesn’t look to be as threatening on paper, and the Pistons look to be at least as good if not better on paper. Jackson, Caldwell-Pope and Drummond could very well be an under the radar team. Over 45.5

Golden State Warriors – Even non basketball fans have likely heard the hype surrounding the addition of Kevin Durant this offseason. Could one player make that much of a difference, in this case, absolutely. I’d have to expect some growing pains at periods this year with that much talent and figuring out how K.D. fits in. Championship season, probably. Under 66.5

Houston Rockets – This team is more than just Harden and company, but there is no question that he is the man in Houston. That being said, as James Harden goes, so goes the Rockets. I don’t expect the loss of an unreliable, albeit talented big man to have much impact. Over 41.5

Indiana Pacers – Returning essentially the same squad from a 45 win unit last year, the additions made certainly can’t hurt and a conference not as strong as a year ago definitely helps. Over 43.5

Los Angeles Clippers – The Clippers have been pretty good for some time now, and this could be the year they are ready to challenge the stacked Warriors. Hungry and talented, if they stay healthy they could be the stumbling block for Golden State. Over 53.5

Los Angeles Lakers – Another abysmal year for the historically great Lakers? Yes. Give this team two or three years and that will all change in a hurry, just not this year. Under 24.5

Memphis Grizzlies – This team is my surprise of the year, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see them in the Conference Championship game. Why? Defense, balance and one intangible – this is an angry team that fees like fate has been dealing them ugly hands, and it has with injuries and so on. Over 43.5

Miami Heat – Miami just doesn’t have enough of anything, with the exception of Whiteside, and he alone isn’t even close to enough. This is going to be a long year for Heat fans. Under 36.5

Milwaukee Bucks – Occasionally this team has shown glimpses of being a contender, but that is merely a façade. This is a middle-of-the-road team that will be just that. That makes this an iffy over-under, but I’m going with under. Under 39.5

Minnesota Timberwolves – This team will win more than the 29 games notched last year, but they are still young and finding their way and their identity. Under 41.5

New Orleans Pelicans – I don’t want to contradict myself here, so when I say Anthony Davis may arguably be the most dominant player in the league, I’m not saying the Pelicans are going to be good or win the championship. They will win more than expected though, provided he stays healthy. Over 36.5

New York Knicks – A very busy offseason, a bunch of changes and a city hungry for success doesn’t necessarily mean anything, anything. Under 38.5

Oklahoma City Thunder – So K.D. has left, and Westbrook has an even greater role to play (if that is even possible) than before. Yes, Russell is still great. No, they aren’t as good without Durant. Under 45.5

Orlando Magic – Perhaps one of the toughest calls to make this season, how much will the additions help, and how much will the loss of a couple of key player hurt? Under 36.5

Philadelphia 76ers – Just plain bad last year. Better this year? Hard not to be, but not by much. Under 27.5

Phoenix Suns – The Suns will be better this year, playoffs are probably a stretch though. Over 26.5

Portland Trail Blazers – A team unlike most that remembers that defense still counts, and counts towards winning. Better than last year, maybe. Playoffs, bank on it. Over 46.5

Sacramento Kings – Just another example of having an “All World” player (Cousins), but not enough else. Under 32.5

San Antonio – With San Antonio it is like the NFL Patriots or the MLB Giants of the past decade. The system and the coaching is enough to keep them competitive. Over 56.5

Toronto Raptors – Don’t expect them to be better than last year as there wasn’t much noise made between last year and now. Do expect them to be about the same in the “W” column. Over 49.5

Utah Jazz – Basing this entirely off of last year, as this is a good team and basically the same team. Slight improvement over the 40 wins last season, but slight. Under 47.5

Washington Wizards – One more of those questionable calls in the Wizards this year. This should be a really good team, that has been just okay. I have to believe they are still good enough to scare some teams and perform a bit better this year. Over 42.5